Network-Based Approach and Climate Change Benefits for Forecasting the Amount of Indian Monsoon Rainfall

Climate Network Based Index Discovery for Prediction of Indian Monsoon

Identification of climatic indices are vital in essence of their ability to characterize different climatic events. We focus on discovery of climatic indices important for Indian summer monsoon from climatic parameters surface pressure and zonal wind velocity. We use climatic network based community detection approach for discovery of climatic indices. New indices depict better correlation with...

Statistical Forecasting of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall: An Enduring Challenge

Indian Monsoon Rainfall

Advancing Indian Monsoon Rainfall Predictions

Despite great strides made in seasonal climate forecasting using dynamical models, skill in predicting the Indian monsoon is woefully poor. Our analysis of the reasons for failure exposes a flaw in the popular design of dynamical prediction systems. The approach of driving atmospheric models with a projected ocean surface temperature presupposes Indian monsoon variability to be a consequence so...

Forecasting of rainfall using different input selection methods on climate signals for neural network inputs

Long-term prediction of precipitation in planning and managing water resources, especially in arid and semi-arid countries such as Iran, has a great importance. In this paper, a method for predicting long-term precipitation using weather signals and artificial neural networks is presented. For this purpose, climatic data (large-scale signals) and meteorological data (local precipitation and tem...